Trujillo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 2
ARR
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 0
TRU
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
TRU
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MIA
2 - 1
TRU
42%
24%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TRU
4 - 1
ADL
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JER
1 - 0
ARR
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
JER
2 - 0
MIA
57%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ADL
1 - 1
JER
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
UDF
0 - 1
JER
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
JER
0 - 1
CDD
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |