Trujillo vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 1
TRU
32%
23%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 2
EXT
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRU
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 1
MIA
43%
26%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ARR
0 - 0
PLA
41%
26%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 3
ARR
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 1
ARR
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ARR
2 - 1
EXT
37%
28%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |