Trujillanos vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
TRU
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 0
TRU
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
TRU
0 - 0
TAC
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRU
3 - 1
TAC
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
TRU
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
6 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 1
LAR
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 3
DEP
22%
24%
55%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 2
MIN
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 0
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |