Trooz vs Hombourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trooz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TIL
3 - 0
TRO
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 4
SFR
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
TRO
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TRO
2 - 2
BEA
60%
19%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RAU
1 - 2
TRO
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hombourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 2
JSF
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUG
2 - 2
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 2
BEA
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 3
JSF
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 2
HOM
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |