Tromsø IL vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
12º
4º
21
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
44.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
S08
0 - 1
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 1
BOG
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KFU
1 - 3
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
KFU
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
SDF
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
KFU
0 - 1
VIF
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 1
VIF
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 2
VIF
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |