Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-4
Tromsø IL vs Paksi SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TRO
4 - 1
VIF
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
1 - 1
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
2 - 0
TRO
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
FCD
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
FFK
0 - 2
TRO
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paksi SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
3 - 2
KTE
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
1 - 1
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
4 - 0
FCS
68%
18%
13%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
PAK
25%
22%
53%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MTK
3 - 4
PAK
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |