Tromso II vs Mo IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FRI
5 - 2
TRO
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 1
FIN
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ASK
3 - 0
TRO
72%
17%
12%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
3 - 1
STR
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SEN
4 - 1
TRO
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
NIL
2 - 5
MOI
13%
16%
71%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOI
1 - 0
OST
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOI
0 - 1
MJO
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 1
MOI
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FFL
0 - 0
MOI
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |