Segunda Croacia 2. HNL Round 20

NK Trnje vs NK Kustošija analysis

NK Trnje NK Kustošija
43 ELO 54
-3.3% Tilt 3%
5874º General ELO ranking 3266º
48º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
23%
NK Trnje
24.5%
Draw
52.5%
NK Kustošija

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
NK Trnje
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.5%
Win probability
NK Kustošija
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Trnje
-33%
-2%
NK Kustošija

Points and table prediction

NK Trnje
Their league position
NK Kustošija
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
15º
13º
61
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
NK Opatija
64
64
100%
NK Kustošija
61
61
100%
Mladost Ždralovi
60
60
100%
Radnik Križevci
58
58
100%
NK Karlovac 1919
56
56
100%
NK Jadran LP
44
47
100%
Marsonia
40
40
100%
Bjelovar
39
39
100%
NK Dugo Selo
37
37
100%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
10º
36
36
10º
0%
Hrvace
11º
36
36
11º
0%
Grobničan
12º
35
35
12º
100%
NK Trnje
13º
33
33
13º
100%
Jadran
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Krk
15º
24
24
15º
100%
Belisce
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
NK Trnje
NK Kustošija
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NK Trnje
NK Kustošija
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Trnje
NK Trnje
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
JAP
Jadran
1 - 0
NK Trnje
TRN
43%
24%
33%
45 44 1 0
09 Mar. 2024
TRN
NK Trnje
0 - 0
Bjelovar
BJE
30%
25%
45%
45 50 5 0
02 Mar. 2024
TRN
NK Trnje
0 - 1
NK Karlovac 1919
KAR
25%
26%
50%
45 55 10 0
24 Feb. 2024
TRN
NK Trnje
2 - 1
Hrvace
HRV
43%
25%
33%
44 45 1 +1
25 Nov. 2023
TRN
NK Trnje
1 - 0
Grobničan
NKG
16%
19%
66%
41 52 11 +3

Matches

NK Kustošija
NK Kustošija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2024
KUS
NK Kustošija
1 - 1
Mladost Ždralovi
MZL
38%
27%
36%
53 56 3 0
09 Mar. 2024
NKK
Radnik Križevci
1 - 2
NK Kustošija
KUS
54%
23%
23%
52 53 1 +1
01 Mar. 2024
KUS
NK Kustošija
3 - 0
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
HDR
57%
22%
21%
51 46 5 +1
24 Feb. 2024
MAR
Marsonia
1 - 1
NK Kustošija
KUS
48%
26%
27%
51 53 2 0
14 Feb. 2024
KUS
NK Kustošija
1 - 2
Bjelovar
BJE
49%
23%
28%
51 49 2 0