Tritium vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 2
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NIB
3 - 1
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
USP
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
TRI
39%
22%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 0
TRI
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
USP
52%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
FAN
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SON
0 - 2
USB
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
0 - 1
USB
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |