Tritium vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.2%
76.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ACL
5 - 2
TRI
68%
21%
12%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
4 - 0
TRI
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 5
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCS
23%
27%
50%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 1
TRE
88%
10%
2%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEC
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 0
CUN
85%
12%
4%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
USC
1 - 1
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
ABN
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |