Tritium vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 2
TRI
33%
27%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
TRI
4 - 1
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 3
TRI
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 0
SAC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOR
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SAC
3 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
PER
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAR
54%
24%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAN
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |