Tritium vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
REN
2 - 1
TRI
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 0
TRI
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TRI
2 - 1
DAR
51%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
0 - 2
TRI
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 3
TRI
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 2
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ALZ
0 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
COL
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
OLG
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 2
CAR
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |