Tristán Suárez vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
VSC
0 - 2
SUA
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SUA
3 - 2
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
SUA
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SUA
1 - 0
COM
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
CCO
1 - 1
SUA
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SAR
0 - 0
VSC
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
SAR
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SAR
0 - 0
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
SAR
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 0
CCO
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |