Tristán Suárez vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
SUA
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SUA
1 - 4
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
VSC
0 - 2
SUA
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SUA
3 - 2
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
SUA
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
MOR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
CCO
1 - 0
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |