Tri-Cities vs Salem City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tri-Cities
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
TRI
3 - 4
MIS
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SCU
4 - 1
TRI
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 3
TRI
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
WES
3 - 3
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
NOC
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
CHA
6 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
LFC
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 3
TRI
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 4
MBM
20%
19%
61%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |