Treze vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 1
ICA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
4 - 0
SAL
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 2
LUV
31%
26%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
5 - 1
TRE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |