Treze vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
TRE
0 - 1
CSA
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
SAO
3 - 0
TRE
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
CRB
3 - 1
TRE
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
BOT
0 - 0
TRE
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SAN
6 - 0
TRE
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
NAU
2 - 1
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
XVD
0 - 0
NAU
37%
29%
35%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1977 |
PAL
3 - 2
NAU
65%
23%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |