Treze vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
TRE
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
AUT
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
CRI
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
TRE
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
CSP
1 - 0
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
CSP
1 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
AUT
2 - 1
CSP
34%
24%
43%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CSP
0 - 0
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 4
CSP
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |