Treze vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 2
VAS
13%
21%
67%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 2
TRE
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 1
TOM
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 2
POT
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CRB
0 - 2
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ASA
0 - 2
CRB
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASA
2 - 1
COR
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
CSA
0 - 3
ASA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 4
ASA
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |