Treviso vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
USO
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VNZ
1 - 1
TRE
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 0
AST
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRE
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TRE
5 - 1
NKK
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
AST
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
NKK
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |