Serie B Round 23

Treviso vs Lecce analysis

Treviso Lecce
63 ELO 77
-6.7% Tilt -8.2%
2523º General ELO ranking 138º
81º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
24.9%
Treviso
26.3%
Draw
48.9%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
Treviso
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.9%
Win probability
Lecce
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Treviso
-26%
+2%
Lecce

ELO progression

Treviso
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Treviso
Treviso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2008
AVE
Avellino
1 - 1
Treviso
TRE
53%
24%
23%
63 63 0 0
19 Jan. 2008
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Treviso
TRE
55%
25%
20%
63 69 6 0
12 Jan. 2008
TRE
Treviso
2 - 0
Triestina
TRI
40%
27%
33%
62 65 3 +1
22 Dec. 2007
CES
Cesena
4 - 1
Treviso
TRE
46%
27%
28%
63 60 3 -1
15 Dec. 2007
TRE
Treviso
1 - 2
SSC Bari
BAR
45%
27%
28%
64 65 1 -1

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2008
LEC
Lecce
3 - 0
Frosinone
FRO
68%
20%
12%
76 63 13 0
19 Jan. 2008
VIC
Vicenza
1 - 3
Lecce
LEC
26%
26%
48%
76 61 15 0
12 Jan. 2008
LEC
Lecce
0 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
56%
24%
21%
76 73 3 0
22 Dec. 2007
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 4
Lecce
LEC
29%
28%
43%
76 66 10 0
15 Dec. 2007
LEC
Lecce
3 - 0
AlbinoLeffe
ABN
58%
24%
18%
75 71 4 +1