Treviso vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRE
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 0
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CES
4 - 1
TRE
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 2
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 4
LEC
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 0
ABN
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |