Serie A Round 16

Treviso vs Lecce analysis

Treviso Lecce
69 ELO 78
-12.7% Tilt -3.8%
2585º General ELO ranking 128º
85º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Treviso
26.2%
Draw
49.4%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
Treviso
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.4%
Win probability
Lecce
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Treviso
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Treviso
Treviso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2005
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Treviso
TRE
78%
15%
7%
68 84 16 0
04 Dec. 2005
TRE
Treviso
0 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
32%
29%
39%
68 77 9 0
27 Nov. 2005
JUV
Juventus
3 - 1
Treviso
TRE
81%
14%
5%
68 93 25 0
20 Nov. 2005
TRE
Treviso
2 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
27%
29%
45%
68 82 14 0
06 Nov. 2005
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 0
Treviso
TRE
63%
22%
15%
68 77 9 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2005
UDI
Udinese
1 - 2
Lecce
LEC
59%
23%
19%
78 86 8 0
04 Dec. 2005
LEC
Lecce
2 - 2
Roma
ROM
36%
26%
38%
78 86 8 0
26 Nov. 2005
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
Lecce
LEC
79%
14%
7%
78 93 15 0
20 Nov. 2005
LEC
Lecce
3 - 0
Siena
SIE
51%
24%
25%
77 79 2 +1
06 Nov. 2005
PAR
Parma
2 - 0
Lecce
LEC
55%
23%
22%
78 83 5 -1