Treviso vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 2
BEN
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 1
MOD
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TRI
0 - 1
TRE
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
GRO
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
EMP
2 - 0
ANC
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 1
TAR
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 0
ANC
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ANC
3 - 2
TAR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |