Tres Algarrobos vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tres Algarrobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
GUT
3 - 2
TRE
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TRE
3 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 0
CDC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ALV
3 - 2
TRE
63%
21%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
3 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
RAO
0 - 0
ALV
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 2
RAO
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
RAO
3 - 0
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
CDC
2 - 1
RAO
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
GUT
2 - 2
RAO
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |