Trento vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
STG
2 - 3
TRE
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
FER
4 - 1
TRE
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 1
VOG
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
DAR
3 - 2
TRE
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PER
2 - 0
PRO
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAP
1 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OLG
1 - 0
PER
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PER
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |