Treibach vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
14º
31
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 0
TRE
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 2
TRE
94%
5%
1%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 5
VOI
33%
23%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 4
SVJ
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 2
TRE
7%
11%
82%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
WEI
3 - 1
ALL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WEI
2 - 1
HGK
57%
20%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
STR
3 - 4
WEI
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 80 | 53 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 0
ASK
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
WEI
4 - 0
SVW
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |