Treibach vs TUS Bad Gleichenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
14º
49
2º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HER
4 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 1
GDF
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LJU
1 - 1
TRE
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 1
WAC
30%
24%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
WEI
1 - 3
TRE
56%
19%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
TUS Bad Gleichenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TBG
3 - 1
ALL
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
GUR
1 - 1
TBG
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
TBG
2 - 2
LBN
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
KAL
2 - 4
TBG
24%
21%
54%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
HER
4 - 1
TBG
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |