Treibach vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 3
TRE
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
TRE
3 - 0
SPI
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 3
TRE
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 2
KUH
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KMD
0 - 1
TRE
54%
23%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 0
MIC
83%
12%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 2
GLO
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SPI
4 - 0
MIC
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MIC
0 - 1
LEN
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KUH
0 - 1
MIC
55%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |