Treibach vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 0
MSA
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GMD
1 - 2
TRE
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
4 - 1
MIC
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
3 - 0
FLC
59%
20%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
FEL
2 - 1
TRE
16%
18%
67%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BLE
0 - 3
DIG
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FLC
2 - 1
BLE
61%
19%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BLE
1 - 0
SVK
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
VOL
1 - 3
BLE
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BLE
2 - 4
KLA
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |