Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
CAM
17%
17%
66%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
LLA
14%
16%
70%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
CAR
21%
20%
60%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 1
TRE
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
TRE
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 0
TAF
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 0
ABB
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
AAF
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GOY
5 - 0
AAF
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 1
AAF
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |