San Marino Cup Semi-finals

Global 1-2

Tre Penne vs Folgore analysis

Tre Penne Folgore
74 ELO 64
5.9% Tilt 17.2%
1924º General ELO ranking 3046º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.9%
Tre Penne
19%
Draw
13.1%
Folgore

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
Tre Penne
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.1%
Win probability
Folgore
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tre Penne
-10%
-11%
Folgore

ELO progression

Tre Penne
Folgore
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tre Penne
Tre Penne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2019
TPE
Tre Penne
4 - 0
Cosmos
COS
73%
17%
10%
73 55 18 0
17 Mar. 2019
TPE
Tre Penne
2 - 1
Faetano
FAE
80%
14%
6%
72 48 24 +1
03 Mar. 2019
JUV
Juvenes / Dogana
0 - 0
Tre Penne
TPE
17%
22%
61%
73 58 15 -1
23 Feb. 2019
TPE
Tre Penne
3 - 1
San Giovanni
SGI
83%
13%
5%
73 42 31 0
16 Feb. 2019
VIR
AC Virtus
0 - 4
Tre Penne
TPE
8%
17%
75%
73 46 27 0

Matches

Folgore
Folgore
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2019
FOL
Folgore
3 - 4
Domagnano
DOM
55%
23%
22%
65 58 7 0
16 Mar. 2019
FIO
Fiorentino
2 - 3
Folgore
FOL
26%
27%
48%
66 54 12 -1
10 Mar. 2019
FOL
Folgore
3 - 2
Tre Fiori
TFI
46%
25%
29%
66 63 3 0
02 Mar. 2019
MUR
Murata
0 - 0
Folgore
FOL
17%
24%
60%
66 46 20 0
24 Feb. 2019
FOL
Folgore
1 - 0
Pennarossa
PEN
71%
19%
10%
66 51 15 0