Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
25%
25%
49%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 2
TFI
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 1
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |