Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
TPE
2 - 0
TFI
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 1
FOL
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 1
VIR
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
TFI
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
TFI
1 - 1
CAI
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MUR
6 - 3
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 1
JUV
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |