Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
JUV
6 - 5
TFI
33%
25%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
TFI
4 - 2
TPE
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TFI
2 - 1
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
TPE
3 - 1
TFI
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
TFI
5 - 1
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TPE
2 - 0
FOL
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CAI
2 - 0
FOL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
4 - 0
DOM
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 3
FOL
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |