Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 3
TFI
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
TFI
0 - 3
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 1
TFI
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
TFI
2 - 3
VIR
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TFI
4 - 0
COS
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 2
TPE
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAI
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |