Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
TPE
0 - 1
TFI
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
TFI
1 - 0
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
TFI
3 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
CAI
2 - 3
TFI
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
COS
2 - 4
VIR
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FIO
4 - 0
COS
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TPE
0 - 0
COS
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |