Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
TFI
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 0
TFI
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
2 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
2 - 5
VIR
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 3
COS
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2001 |
RAP
2 - 0
COS
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
RAP
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
COS
1 - 3
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 1
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |