Trapani vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LAT
0 - 1
TRA
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
0 - 2
SIE
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CES
2 - 2
TRA
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
TRA
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 3
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TER
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REG
3 - 4
VAR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
PES
1 - 2
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |