Trafford vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 1
COL
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SKE
2 - 3
TRA
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
6 - 0
ALI
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TRA
4 - 2
SPE
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
ALT
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
RUN
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
RUN
3 - 1
WID
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HYD
0 - 1
RUN
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
RUN
0 - 5
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 2
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |