TPK vs PIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2001 |
AIF
1 - 2
TPK
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
TPK
4 - 0
PP7
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
RAU
1 - 3
TPK
53%
23%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
TPK
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -3 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
KAL
1 - 0
TPK
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
PIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2001 |
PIF
1 - 4
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
PIF
1 - 1
VGN
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
KAK
1 - 0
PIF
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
KAL
1 - 1
PIF
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
PIF
2 - 0
AIF
46%
23%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |