TP Mazembe vs Tshinkunku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
TPM
41%
31%
28%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
TPM
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
TPM
3 - 1
DBL
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
NSG
0 - 4
TPM
45%
31%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
TPM
8 - 0
OPA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tshinkunku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
TSH
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 0
TSH
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
TSH
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TSH
0 - 3
LUB
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
SAI
3 - 0
TSH
51%
28%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |