CAF Champions Last 16
Global 3-2
TP Mazembe vs Kedus St George analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
KGI
2 - 2
TPM
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TPM
2 - 0
SAI
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +5 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TPM
2 - 1
ETO
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 0
TPM
47%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
TPM
5 - 0
LUB
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kedus St George
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
KGI
2 - 2
TPM
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
AWK
2 - 1
KGI
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +16 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 1
KGI
21%
26%
52%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
KGI
0 - 0
ENB
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
KGI
3 - 0
MIC
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |