TP Mazembe vs Groupe Bazano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 1
FCT
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TPM
0 - 0
SAI
50%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
DBL
0 - 1
TPM
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TPM
4 - 0
LUB
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TSH
0 - 2
TPM
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
GBA
1 - 2
BFC
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCT
4 - 1
GBA
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 22 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 0
GBA
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 2
GBA
41%
29%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ASM
0 - 0
GBA
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 14 | 58 | 0 |