TP Mazembe vs Groupe Bazano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TPM
1 - 0
RCA
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
RCA
2 - 0
TPM
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LUB
1 - 2
TPM
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
TPM
2 - 0
SIM
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
DAU
0 - 2
TPM
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GBA
1 - 0
LUB
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
GBA
1 - 3
VCL
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
GBA
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SIM
0 - 1
GBA
35%
31%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
GBA
0 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |