Tours vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 1
NIO
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
REI
1 - 0
TOU
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
TOU
0 - 0
CLE
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
TOU
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
TOU
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
MET
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MET
3 - 0
ASS
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DIJ
1 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 4
MET
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
STR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |