Tours vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
TOU
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 0
TOU
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 1
MPL
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 1
USB
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
SED
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
CLE
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CLE
2 - 1
BAS
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
LEN
2 - 1
CLE
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CLE
2 - 1
AMI
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ORL
0 - 0
CLE
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |