Touring vs Febres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
TOU
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Febres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRO
6 - 0
FEB
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 59 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FEB
1 - 1
ADN
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |