French League U19 Group D Round 6

Toulouse U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis

Toulouse U19 Montpellier U19
32 ELO 39
-2.2% Tilt -4.5%
7007º General ELO ranking 6661º
190º Country ELO ranking 170º
ELO win probability
32.2%
Toulouse U19
23.7%
Draw
44%
Montpellier U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44%
Win probability
Montpellier U19
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse U19
+14%
-5%
Montpellier U19

Points and table prediction

Toulouse U19
Their league position
Montpellier U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Etienne U19
54
54
100%
Olympique Marseille U19
53
53
100%
Toulouse U19
49
52
90.5%
Montpellier U19
47
50
90.5%
Nice U19
46
46
100%
Ajaccio U19
41
41
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
38
38
100%
Monaco U19
32
35
92.5%
Colomiers U19
33
33
92.5%
Olympique Rovenain U19
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Air Bel U19
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Rodez U19
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Toulouse U19
Montpellier U19
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Toulouse U19
Montpellier U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
ABE
Air Bel U19
1 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
42%
23%
35%
30 29 1 0
14 Sep. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
3 - 0
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
61%
19%
20%
30 25 5 0
08 Sep. 2024
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
3 - 0
Toulouse U19
TOU
44%
23%
34%
31 29 2 -1
01 Sep. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
0 - 2
Saint-Etienne U19
ETI
47%
23%
30%
33 33 0 -2
25 Aug. 2024
ROD
Rodez U19
1 - 3
Toulouse U19
TOU
55%
20%
24%
31 34 3 +2

Matches

Montpellier U19
Montpellier U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
MON
Montpellier U19
4 - 2
Ajaccio U19
AJA
47%
23%
30%
38 37 1 0
15 Sep. 2024
ASG
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
1 - 3
Montpellier U19
MON
14%
18%
68%
38 11 27 0
08 Sep. 2024
MON
Montpellier U19
1 - 2
Olympique Rovenain U19
ORO
82%
12%
6%
38 11 27 0
01 Sep. 2024
COL
Colomiers U19
0 - 1
Montpellier U19
MON
13%
20%
67%
38 21 17 0
25 Aug. 2024
MON
Monaco U19
1 - 2
Montpellier U19
MON
62%
19%
19%
37 39 2 +1