Toulouse U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 84% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
TOU
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOU
0 - 2
OLY
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 2
TOU
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PSG
6 - 1
TOU
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
TOU
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
NIC
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 1
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
CAN
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
TOU
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BEZ
0 - 1
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |