Toulouse U19 vs Marignane Gignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
3º
17
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
TOU
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 2
ETI
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 3
TOU
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOU
7 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 1
TOU
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MGG
0 - 6
AJA
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ASG
2 - 1
MGG
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 1
ORO
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 0
BEZ
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
MGG
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |