Toulouse U19 vs Marignane Gignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
3º
17
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
TOU
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 2
ETI
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 3
TOU
55%
20%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOU
7 - 0
COL
73%
16%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 1
TOU
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MGG
0 - 6
AJA
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ASG
2 - 1
MGG
12%
17%
71%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 1
ORO
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 0
BEZ
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
MGG
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |